Lesson 3: How predictable are the markets?

The financial media loves to tell us which way the markets are heading and spot the 'hot tips' they reckon the other pundits have missed. But just how good are they at getting it right? Is it possible to forecast market falls or rises at any one point in time? Or are they inherently unpredictable?

AcuityINSIGHT: The majority of fund managers do not win at investingIncreasingly, investors are becoming aware that investing costs really matter. Perhaps fewer know that the majority of active fund managers who promise to beat the market fail to deliver on that promise.

AcuityINSIGHT: All together now: ‘Costs really matter’Despite years of pressure from the likes of Vanguard, a large gap still exists between the relative costs of index funds and those of judgemental (active) managers. Using primary data, we examine those differences for all open-end UCITS funds/ETFs available to UK investors. Over time, costs make a b

AcuityINSIGHT: The unhelpful noise of short-term performanceThis issue of Insight takes a look at the temptations and challenges of short-term performance noise and looks at two high media profile performance-driven examples. Picking winners is extremely challenging.

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