Lessons in investing

Lesson 3: How predictable are the markets?

The financial media loves to tell us which way the markets are heading and spot the 'hot tips' they reckon the other pundits have missed. But just how good are they at getting it right? Is it possible to forecast market falls or rises at any one point in time? Or are they inherently unpredictable?

AcuityINSIGHT: Rolling, rolling, rollingIn this latest issue, we help provide some perspective around the journey different investors can experience whilst getting to the same result based on the rolling period of their portfolio review. Periodic - but not too frequent - check-ins and maintenance of an investment portfolio is good practic

AcuityINSIGHT: Structured products - what you don't seeStructured products, although superficially appealing, the lack of insight into the chances that different outcomes will occur, (and the complexity of modelling outcomes) combined with high, hidden embedded costs makes them unattractive for long-term portfolios. This issue shows that such systematic

AcuityINSIGHT: Emotions and market timing are likely to be costlyThis latest issue looks at the challenges of emotion and market timing. Recent evidence shows that net new flows into bond funds in the US is driven largely by recent bond market performance e.g., exhibiting huge outflows in 2022 after poor performance. A couple of our favourite quotes on the subjec

Lessons in investing

Lesson 3: How predictable are the markets?

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